You don't need to turn off the XP firewall - just make sure that it's configured to allow LW. Check out the links below for info.
 Windows Firewall - LimeWire PortForward.com - Free Help Setting up Your Windows XP Firewall. 
It doesn't look like there's a firewall within your modem. Do you have a router as well? 
Did you try a few different ports? Have a look through the link below - there are lots of different fixes to try. Go through them one by one & let us know if you have problems with a particular fix
 If LW Will Not Connect
 If LW Will Not Connect 
Your Java version is very old, you should update that. The help thread above has info about updating Java.